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Indian soft drink bottlers forecast revenue recovery this fiscal

Hotter summer and deeper penetration expected to drive 15 per cent growth.

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MUMBAI: India’s soft drink bottlers are set to fizz back to life thanks to a scorching summer that could turn up the heat on sales. After a subdued performance last year, revenues for the sector are projected to return to their long-term trajectory of around 15 per cent growth this fiscal, according to a report by Crisil Ratings. Summer months, which typically account for nearly 40 per cent of annual sales, are expected to provide a major boost, supported by above-normal temperatures forecast by the India Meteorological Department and the possible influence of El Niño conditions.

The analysis of 13 bottlers across carbonated drinks, juices, and packaged water points to a strong rebound in volumes, driven by both favourable weather and expanded distribution networks. Players have increased bottling capacities by 30–35 per cent over the past two fiscals while also strengthening cold chain infrastructure.

“Players have increased their bottling capacities by 30–35 per cent over the past two fiscals while also expanding distribution and cold chain infrastructure,” said Shounak Chakravarty of Crisil Ratings. “This, along with modest price hikes, should help drive double-digit volume growth and restore revenue momentum.”

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However, the outlook is not without challenges. New entrants are gaining ground with products priced at popular points such as Rs 10 and Rs 20, along with indigenous flavours. Their market share has risen to an estimated 6–7 per cent in the last fiscal, up from around 2 per cent a year earlier.

Incumbents are expected to respond by increasing spending on marketing, distribution, and capacity expansion to protect their share. Profitability is also likely to face pressure from rising input costs, particularly packaging, which accounts for 20–22 per cent of total expenses due to higher crude oil prices amid West Asia tensions.

“Intensifying competition and reduced pricing flexibility, along with higher packaging costs, will moderate profitability this fiscal,” said Rucha Narkar of Crisil Ratings. Margins may decline by 200–250 basis points but are still expected to remain healthy at 15–16 per cent, supported by modest price hikes and a growing focus on zero-sugar variants.

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Larger bottlers with pan-India presence are better positioned to weather these pressures, benefiting from stronger pricing power and economies of scale. Despite margin compression, cash flows are projected to remain stable, supporting continued investments in capacity and distribution, including visi-coolers at retail outlets.

Capital expenditure intensity is expected to ease slightly this fiscal after a surge last year driven by acquisitions. As a result, key credit metrics such as debt-to-Ebitda and interest coverage ratios are likely to improve, pointing to stable credit profiles for the industry.

In a sector where weather can make or break the season, this year’s hotter summer could be the perfect ingredient for a refreshing rebound in revenues. For India’s soft drink bottlers, the forecast is finally looking fizzy again.

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MAM

Coca-cola launches ‘Har Meal Aaaah’ campaign with Mamitha Baiju

Hyperlocal film turns parotta into ‘Parotaaaaaah’ to celebrate meal moments

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MUMBAI: One sip, one sound and suddenly, every meal gets its moment. Coca-cola has unveiled its latest campaign, ‘Har Meal Aaaah’, aiming to turn everyday dining into something a little more memorable and a lot more refreshing. Fronted by Mamitha Baiju, the campaign leans into Coca-cola’s iconic “Aaaah” mnemonic that unmistakable expression after the first sip reimagining it as a cultural thread that ties together food, flavour and feeling across regions. The film, rooted in Tamil Nadu’s culinary culture, spotlights the beloved parotta, playfully stretching it into “Parotaaaaaah” to capture the joy of the perfect pairing.

Conceptualised by Ogilvy and extended regionally by Studio X, the campaign blends local insight with global brand cues. It reflects Coca-cola’s ongoing strategy of embedding itself into everyday rituals, this time, not through grand occasions, but through the quiet, familiar moments around food.

The idea is simple but sharply executed: position Coca-cola not as an add-on, but as an essential companion to meals. By tapping into hyperlocal food habits while retaining a universally recognisable brand cue, the campaign aims to deepen emotional recall across diverse audiences.

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Early traction suggests the approach is resonating. The campaign has already sparked organic engagement online, with memes and user reactions amplifying its reach proof that sometimes, the smallest ideas travel the furthest.

At a time when brands are competing for attention in increasingly fragmented markets, ‘Har Meal Aaaah’ takes a different route zooming in rather than out. Because in the end, Coca-Cola’s bet is clear: if you can own the moment after the first sip, you can own the meal.

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