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Netflix holds 2026 outlook steady after Warner deal collapse

$2.8 billion fee lifts cash flow to $12.5 billion; shares fall nearly 9 per cent.

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MUMBAI: Sometimes walking away is the real power move and Netflix is framing its abandoned Warner Bros. deal as exactly that. Despite scrapping a high-stakes acquisition, the company has held its 2026 financial outlook steady, signalling confidence in its core business even as investors reacted nervously. The collapse of the proposed transaction with Warner Bros. Discovery left a clear mark on Netflix’s first-quarter numbers, most notably through a $2.8 billion termination fee that boosted earnings. Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.23, with the fee recorded under “interest and other income,” helping the company beat analyst expectations on both revenue and profitability.

Yet the market response was less celebratory. Shares slipped nearly 9 per cent in after-hours trading, with investor caution centred on forward guidance and the concurrent announcement that co-founder Reed Hastings will step down from the board in June.

In its shareholder letter, Netflix struck a measured tone, describing the Warner deal as “a nice accelerant… but only at the right price.” The company reiterated its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $50.7 billion and $51.7 billion, alongside an operating margin of 31.5 per cent unchanged despite the aborted acquisition.

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If anything, the financial impact of the deal’s collapse has been quietly positive in the near term. Netflix now expects free cash flow of about $12.5 billion in 2026, up from its earlier estimate of $11 billion, largely due to the after-tax benefit of the termination fee. Chief financial officer Spencer Neumann clarified that previously anticipated M&A-related costs around $275 million were already baked into guidance and were not exclusively tied to the Warner transaction. Some expenses have been avoided altogether, while others have shifted timelines, leaving the operating margin outlook broadly intact.

Co-CEO Ted Sarandos reinforced the strategic stance, emphasising that the deal was never essential. He described it as “a nice to have, not a need to have,” adding that Netflix walked away once the economics no longer aligned with shareholder value. The process, he noted, helped sharpen the company’s investment discipline and build its M&A capabilities without altering its broader capital allocation philosophy.

The backstory underscores the scale of the missed opportunity. Netflix had entered exclusive talks in late 2025 for a deal valued at around $72 billion (approximately $82.7 billion including debt), only to be outmanoeuvred by a competing all-cash bid from Paramount Skydance. When the revised offer was deemed superior, Netflix chose not to escalate, effectively stepping aside.

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The Warner episode also overlapped with Hastings’ decision to step down from the board, though Sarandos dismissed any direct link, noting that leadership had been aligned on the deal throughout.

For Netflix, the message is clear, growth will not hinge on blockbuster acquisitions alone. Instead, the company appears intent on doubling down on its existing playbook content, scale and disciplined capital deployment while keeping M&A as a strategic option, not a necessity. In a market that often rewards bold bets, Netflix is making a quieter argument: sometimes, restraint pays.

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iWorld

Meta plans 8,000 layoffs in new AI-led restructuring wave

First phase from May 20 may cut 10 per cent workforce amid AI pivot.

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MUMBAI: At Meta, the future may be artificial but the cuts are very real. The social media giant is reportedly preparing a fresh round of layoffs, with an initial wave expected to impact around 8,000 employees as it doubles down on its artificial intelligence ambitions. According to a Reuters report, the first phase of job cuts is slated to begin on May 20, targeting roughly 10 per cent of Meta’s global workforce. With nearly 79,000 employees on its rolls as of December 31, the move marks one of the company’s most significant workforce reductions in recent years.

And this may only be the beginning. Sources indicate that additional layoffs are being planned for the second half of the year, although the scale and timing remain fluid, likely to be shaped by how Meta’s AI capabilities evolve in the coming months. Earlier reports had suggested that total cuts in 2026 could reach 20 per cent or more of its workforce.

The restructuring comes as chief executive Mark Zuckerberg continues to steer the company towards an AI-first operating model, committing hundreds of billions of dollars to the transition. Internally, this shift is already visible: teams within Reality Labs have been reorganised, engineers have been moved into a newly formed Applied AI unit, and a Meta Small Business division has been created to align with broader structural changes.

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The trend is hardly isolated. Across the tech sector, companies are trimming headcount while investing aggressively in automation. Amazon, for instance, has reportedly cut around 30,000 corporate roles nearly 10 per cent of its white-collar workforce citing efficiency gains driven by AI. Data from Layoffs.fyi shows over 73,000 tech employees have already lost jobs this year, compared with 153,000 in all of 2024.

For Meta, the move echoes its earlier “year of efficiency” in 2022–23, when about 21,000 roles were eliminated amid slowing growth and market pressures. This time, however, the backdrop is different. The company is financially stronger, generating over $200 billion in revenue and $60 billion in profit last year, with shares up 3.68 per cent year-to-date though still below last summer’s peak.

That contrast underlines the shift underway. These layoffs are less about survival and more about reinvention. As Meta restructures itself around AI from autonomous coding agents to advanced machine learning systems, the question is no longer whether the company will change, but how many roles will be left unchanged when it does.

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