MAM
GroupM downgrades 2013 global ad spend
MUMBAI: Due to the continuing sluggishness in the US and European economies, the global ad spend in 2013 will grow by 4.5 per cent, as per GroupM’s revised forecast.
The study revealed that the forecast is almost a full percentage point lower than the 5.3 per cent spending hike GroupM predicted in June.
The 70-country forecast predicted that global ad spending in 2013 will increase 4.5 per cent compared to 2012, representing $531 billion.
The revised spending forecast was made in GroupM’s biannual worldwide report, “This Year, Next Year,” which also concluded that 2012 ad spending in measured media will hit $508 billion, a 4.6 per cent increase over 2011 spending of $486 billion.
For the U.S. market, the report said advertising investment in measured media grew 3.5 per cent in 2012 to $152.4 billion, up from $147.2 billion the previous year.
For 2013, the new report predicted a less optimistic 2.7 per cent increase to $156.5 billion.
GroupM chief investment officer Rino Scanzoni said, “Ad spending in 2013 won’t enjoy the boost from Olympic and election-year spending we saw in 2012. At the same time, overall economic conditions in the US do not support more than very moderate advertising spending expansion.”
GroupM Futures Director Adam Smith said ad investment in the Eurozone periphery (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain) is expected to fall 15 per cent this year, a 40 per cent contraction from its peak spending year of 2007 and comparable in real terms to 1998 spending levels.
“Western Europe is the slowest region for ad spending growth, with a 2.6 per cent contraction expected in 2012, the worst year since 2009‘s 11 per cent collapse. Western Europe now accounts for 20 per cent of global advertising, down from 30 per cent in 1999 and heading for 17 per cent in 2017,” Smith added.
Smith also said that Russia and Turkey continue to lead ad spending growth in central and Eastern Europe, a regional economy that is one-fifth the size of Western Europe but with twice the ad spending growth.
The study is part of GroupM‘s media and marketing forecasting series drawn from data supplied by parent company WPP‘s worldwide resources in advertising, public relations, market research, and specialist communications.
The report predicted that investment in digital media would account for 19.5 per cent of measured ad spending globally this year ($99 billion) and 21.4 per cent in 2013 ($114 billion), with respective growth rates of 16 per cent and 15 per cent. Those figures are comparable to the GroupM forecast made earlier this year.
“Digital ad growth remains strong, sustained and structural, though one or two highly-digitized European markets now look for growth in usage as opposed to new users,” said Smith. “More newsworthy is our rising dependence on digital to support total growth, now furnishing over 60 per cent of new incremental ad dollars in 2012 and 2013. This produces a reciprocal reduction in TV’s contribution, being the only other large growth medium.”
In other media categories, TV accounted for 43 per cent of measured global media investment in 2012, the same amount recorded for the previous year.
“We continue to predict TV‘s share of global ad budgets peaking in 2012 at 43 per cent as other screens begin to claim meaningful amounts of consumer time,” Smith added.
Brands
Kwality Wall’s reports standalone losses following strategic HUL demerger
Ice cream major faces Rs 64 crore Ebitda loss amid commodity inflation and muted Q3 sales
MUMBAI: Kwality Wall’s (India) Limited (KWIL) has released its first set of financial results as a standalone entity, revealing a challenging start to its independent journey. Following its successful demerger from Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL) on 1st December 2025 and its subsequent listing on 16th February 2026, the company is navigating a transition period marked by structural changes and high input costs.
For the quarter ended 31st December 2025, the company reported revenue of Rs 222 crores. Despite the revenue base, the bottom line was impacted by several factors, resulting in an Ebitda loss of Rs 64.2 crores. When calculated on a Pre-IND AS 116 basis, the Ebitda loss stood at Rs 83.8 crores.
Organic Sales Growth (OSG) declined by 6.5 per cent year-on-year during the quarter. Volume growth, however, saw a marginal increase of 1.2 per cent. The company reported a gross margin of 41.5 per cent. Additionally, exceptional expenses amounting to Rs 94 crores were recorded, primarily linked to non-recurring costs during the transition phase.
Performance across portfolios and channels was mixed. Within the impulse portfolio, brands such as Magnum and Cornetto recorded mid-single digit volume growth, indicating steady demand in on-the-go consumption. However, the in-home portfolio, which includes take-home packs, experienced muted consumption. The company is planning a relaunch of this category with improved offerings ahead of the 2026 season.
Quick commerce (Q-Com) continued to emerge as a strong growth driver, delivering robust double-digit growth during the quarter. Meanwhile, the company also expanded its physical distribution network by increasing the number of company-owned cabinets across markets.
Margin pressure during the quarter was driven by a combination of one-off factors and broader cost inflation. Gross margins were impacted by around 600 basis points due to trade investments made for stock liquidation. Additionally, cocoa price inflation contributed to another 400 basis points of pressure on margins.
Deputy managing director Chitrank Goel attributed the muted performance partly to prolonged monsoons and transitional challenges linked to the GST framework. Operating expenses also increased as the company invested in establishing its standalone supply chain, operational systems and corporate infrastructure following the demerger.
Looking ahead, the management remains focused on a volume-driven growth strategy. To restore profitability, the company has initiated a cost productivity programme aimed at reducing non-consumer-facing costs. It is also working on building regional manufacturing networks to optimise logistics expenses and improve operational efficiency.
The commodity outlook for the near term remains mixed. Dairy prices are expected to remain firm due to tight supply conditions and rising fodder costs. Sugar prices may also move higher following increases in the Minimum Selling Price (MSP). While cocoa prices have moderated recently, currency depreciation has offset some of the potential cost relief for the company.
