MAM
Voltas Q2: Net profit sinks 26 per cent to Rs 80 crore
MUMBAI: Consumer electronics firm Voltas has posted net profit of Rs 80 crore for the quarter ended 30 September 2020. This is a decline of 26 per cent from the same quarter last fiscal when the company reported net profit of Rs 107.3 crore.
The consolidated total income for the period was higher by 10 per cent at Rs 1,651 crores as compared to Rs 1,495 crores in the corresponding quarter last year. Earnings per share (face value per share of Re 1) (not annualized) as on 30 September 2020 was Rs 2.37 as compared to Rs 3.22 last year.
The results take into account the effect of merger of a 100 per cent subsidiary-universal comfort products limited with effect from 1 April 2019, which has been approved by the National Company Law Tribunal on 11 September 2020.
Consolidated segment results for the quarter ended 30 September 2020:
Unitary cooling products for comfort and commercial use: The business achieved overall volume growth of 14 per cent contributed by growth of 11 per cent in room air conditioners, 20 per cent in commercial refrigeration products and 28 per cent in air coolers. Voltas continued to be the market leader and has sustained its no 1 position in the room air conditioner business and further improved its market share to 26.8 per cent in August 2020. Segment revenue increased by nine per cent and was Rs 572 crores as compared to Rs 526 crores in the corresponding quarter last year. Segment result was higher by 37 per cent at Rs 63 crores as compared to Rs 46 crores in the corresponding quarter last year.
Electro-mechanical projects and services: Segment revenue for the quarter was higher at 15 per cent at Rs 928 crores as compared to Rs 809 crores in the corresponding quarter last year. Segment result was Rs 23 crores as compared to Rs 56 crores last year primarily due to conservative time based provisions, amidst liquidity constraints on some of the old legacy projects. Carry forward order book of the segment was higher at Rs 6,852 crores as compared to Rs 6,567 crores in the corresponding quarter last year.
Engineering products and services: Segment revenue and result for the quarter were at Rs 93 crores and Rs 29 crores as compared to Rs 80 crores and Rs 25 crores, respectively in the corresponding quarter last year.
Consolidated results for the six month period ended 30 September: Impacted by the Covid2019 lockdown, the consolidated total income for the six months period ended 30 September 2020 was at Rs 3,015 crores as compared to Rs 4,192 crores in the corresponding period last year. Profit before tax was at Rs 223 crores as compared to Rs 408 crores last year. Profit after tax was Rs 161 crores as against Rs 274 crores in the corresponding period last year. Earnings per share (face value per share of Re 1) (not annualized) as on 30 September 2020 was Rs 4.82 as compared to Rs 8.21 last year.
Risk and return maintain inverse proportionality within mutual funds – higher potential rewards accompany elevated volatility, while stability demands lower expectations. SEBI’s Riskometer (1-5 scale) standardizes visualization, but quantitative metrics reveal nuanced relationships across categories and market cycles.
Fundamental Risk-Return Relationship
Equity funds (Riskometer 4-5) deliver historical 12-16% CAGR alongside 18-25% standard deviation—large-cap 15% volatility, small-cap 30%+. Debt funds (1-2) yield 6-8% with 2-6% volatility. Hybrids (3) average 9-12% returns, 10-14% volatility.
Sharpe ratio measures return per risk unit – equity 0.7-0.9, debt 0.5-0.7 over complete cycles. Higher risk categories compensate through return premium capturing economic growth.
Volatility Metrics Explained
Standard Deviation: Annual NAV return dispersion—equity 18-22%, debt 4-6%.
Maximum Drawdown: Peak-to-trough losses – equity 50%+ (2008), debt 8-12%.
Beta: Market sensitivity – equity 0.9-1.1, debt 0.1-0.3.
Sortino Ratio focuses downside volatility—equity 1.0-1.3 favoring recoveries.
Value at Risk (VaR) estimates 95% confidence, worst 1-month loss: equity 10-15%, debt 1-2%.
Category Risk-Return Profiles
Large-cap equity: 12-14% CAGR, 15% volatility, Sharpe 0.8.
Mid/small-cap: 15-18%, 22-30% volatility, Sharpe 0.7.
Corporate bond debt: 7-8%, 4% volatility, Sharpe 0.6.
Liquid funds: 6.5%, <1% volatility—capital preservation.
Credit risk debt: 8.5%, 6% volatility—yield pickup.
Hybrids: 10-12%, 12% volatility—balanced exposure.
Review types of mutual funds specifications confirming mandated asset allocations driving profiles.
Historical Risk-Return Tradeoffs (2000-2025)
Complete cycles: Equity 14% CAGR/18% volatility; 60/40 equity/debt 11%/11% volatility; debt 7.5%/5% volatility. Bull phases (2013-2021): equity 18%, debt 8%. Bear markets (2008, 2020): equity -50%/+80% swings, debt -10%/+10%.
Inflation-adjusted: Equity 8% real CAGR; debt 1.5% real—growth funding requires equity allocation.
Risk Capacity Assessment Framework
Short-term goals (1-3 years): Riskometer 1-2 (liquid/debt), 2-4% real returns. Medium-term (5-7 years): Level 3 (hybrid), 4-6% real. Long-term (10+ years): Level 4-5 (equity), 6-9% real.
Personal factors: Age (younger = higher risk), income stability, emergency fund coverage, other assets. Drawdown tolerance—20% comfortable vs 40% discomfort signals capacity limits.
Portfolio Construction Principles
Diversification: 60/40 equity/debt reduces volatility 40% versus equity-only while capturing 80% returns.
Correlation: Equity/debt 0.3 average enables smoothing.
Rebalancing: Annual drift correction sells outperformers (equity +25%), buys underperformers (debt -5%).
Style balance: Large-cap stability offsets mid-cap growth volatility.
Quantitative Risk Management Tools
Sharpe Ratio: >1.0 indicates efficient risk-taking.
Information Ratio: Alpha per tracking error.
Downside Deviation: Focuses losses only.
Stress Testing: 2008 scenario simulations reveal portfolio behavior extremes.
Conclusion
Higher mutual fund risk levels correlate with elevated return potential – equity 12-16% amid 18-25% volatility versus debt 6-8%/4-6%. Risk capacity matching, category diversification, rebalancing discipline, and quantitative metric interpretation align portfolios with personal tolerance across economic cycles.
Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.
