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APOS 2025 predicts that Asia’s screen economy will shift gears as digital eats into TV pie and growth slows

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BALI : The 16th edition of the APOS Summit opened in Bali with a blunt forecast: Asia-Pacific’s media juggernaut is heading into rougher waters. “The next wave in Asia is here and it looks very different,” said Media Partners Asia founder Vivek Couto, addressing 550 delegates from across the region’s fast-evolving screen economy.

Asia’s screen count is booming—from 4.5 billion today to 5.5 billion by 2030—with smartphones still king, rising to 4.4 billion, and connected TVs becoming the fastest-growing segment at 13 per cent CAGR. Yet the party is winding down. After raking in $36 billion in new revenues during the pandemic-era gold rush (2020–25), the region now expects just $16 billion more over the next five years. The culprit? A steady erosion in traditional TV’s dominance.

“Monetisation is decisively shifting to digital,” Couto declared. TV, which currently commands 49 per cent of screen revenues, will sink to 41 per cent by 2030. In its place, premium video (SVOD/AVOD) will rise to 29 per cent and UGC/social video will power up to 24 per cent. Theatrical remains flat.

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China and India dominate the region’s screen scale—72 per cent by 2030—while Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand lead in screen growth. Three markets—China, Japan and India—will account for almost 75 per cent of screen revenues. But their playbooks couldn’t be more different.

China’s model is fuelled by short-form content, micro-dramas and a mature VOD sector monetised through ads and transactions. Japan stays TV-centric with high-ARPU SVOD and premium AVOD. India is firing on both cylinders with ads and value-led subscriptions across streaming and broadcast, and mobile-first, hybrid OTT platforms.

Local champions are holding their ground. JioStar is the fastest riser in India, on track to cross $1 billion this year. Australia’s Foxtel and Nine, Korea’s TVING, Indonesia’s Vidio and Thailand’s TrueID are proving that scale outside of global behemoths is not only possible—it’s profitable. “The new video economy isn’t just digital-native—it’s cross-platform,” Couto stressed.

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YouTube still rules the roost, projected to hit $18–19 billion in regional revenues by 2030, followed by ByteDance’s Douyin and TikTok, which are closing in on $10 billion combined. Netflix dominates premium VOD beyond China, with Disney+ and Prime Video scaling in Japan, India and Southeast Asia. Japan’s U-Next is riding a strong mix of sports, local content and Hollywood imports.

Meanwhile, the creator economy is exploding—with over 100 million creators in 2024 expected to grow to 165 million by 2030. China’s micro-drama boom has already become a $7 billion beast, now expanding globally. “It’s part entertainment, part conversion funnel,” Couto said. Platforms are blurring content and commerce, particularly in China and southeast Asia, where creators are anchoring live shopping and branded content ecosystems.

Premium content is still critical, but the free-spending days are done. Investment in streaming originals is projected to climb from $17 billion to $21 billion by 2030, but platforms are asking tougher questions: What retains? What monetises? What builds the ecosystem?

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Retail media is the region’s new digital ad workhorse, expected to drive $45 billion in spend by 2030—$26 billion in China, $10 billion in India and $9 billion in Japan. While SVOD and AVOD still rake in the bulk of video monetisation, it’s the integration of retail commerce and media that’s reshaping the ad game.

Couto’s closing pitch was a rallying cry for innovation: “Asia-Pacific leads the world in screens, time spent and innovation. We’re no longer just a consumption story—we’re a revenue engine. But this next phase is more competitive. Growth must be earned.”

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Inside Studio Blo: Meet Joel James the boy who codes by day and composes by night

The 23-year-old co-founder rewriting India’s AI film story, one algorithm and arpeggio at a time

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MUMBAI: Here is a fun riddle: What do you get when you cross a coder with a composer, hand him a film studio, and let him loose on Hindi cinema? The answer, apparently, is Joel James, co-founder and chief of innovation at Studio Blo, India’s pioneering AI film studio. At 23, he is only just warming up.

Ask him how his two worlds, music and technology, manage to coexist without one swallowing the other, and he barely pauses. “They’re more connected than they sound,” he says. “Music is essentially programming, it’s all about patterns. Since day one, I’ve been drawn to finding patterns. In music, it’s about discovering patterns that make people groove, and in tech, it’s about building efficient patterns that make things work. One is emotional, the other is functional, but both come from the same instinct.”

That instinct, it turns out, is rather a useful one to have when your job is to convince an entire creative industry that the robot is not coming for its lunch.

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“AI doesn’t replace creativity, it reduces friction.”

The conversation around artificial intelligence and the arts has, for some years now, produced more heat than light. Artists worry. Labels panic. Op-ed writers have a field day. James finds it all slightly beside the point. “Every generation has had tools that were initially seen as shortcuts, synths, sampling, autotune, but they eventually became part of the creative language,” he says. “AI is no different.”

He has a case study to hand. While scoring a feature film, he used AI to explore four distinct choir styles from different regions of India before settling on recording an actual choir in the North East. “AI helped us get there faster,” he explains. “It let us test, iterate, and refine instead of guessing for weeks.” The point, he insists, is not that AI created something impossible. It is that it let him fail fast, test an idea, discard it, and try again, without the usual cost in time and money that makes experimentation a luxury most productions cannot afford.

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The synth did not kill the guitarist. The loop pedal did not bury the drummer. AI, James argues, is simply the newest instrument in a very long orchestra, except this one occasionally surprises you.

“There have been moments where AI generates something slightly off, like a vocal texture that isn’t perfect but has character,” he says, with what sounds like genuine affection for the glitch. “Those imperfections can feel very human. I’ve used a few of those because they add unpredictability and texture that I might not have created intentionally.” The machine makes a mistake; the composer hears music. It is, in its way, a rather elegant partnership.

“Creators often lose momentum because production can be slow, expensive, or technically complex.”

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This philosophy, that the best technology is the kind that gets out of your way, shapes everything Studio Blo is trying to do. “The biggest problem is friction between idea and execution,” James says. “At Studio Blo, we focus on fixing the boring parts, streamlining tools and workflows so that directors and creators can focus purely on creating.” It is the unglamorous mission statement of a generation that grew up watching brilliant ideas die in pre-production, not for lack of talent, but for lack of time and money.

It is also what brought him to the table with Shekhar Kapur, the legendary filmmaker whose credits span continents and decades. The collaboration, James describes, is less a mentorship and more a genuine exchange. “Experience is honestly the new currency,” he says. “Someone like Shekhar sir brings decades of storytelling instinct and a completely different worldview shaped over time. What I bring is new energy and the ability to enable that storytelling through technology, and sometimes even express those stories through sound in a new way. The intersection of experience and new-age tools is where the magic happens.” At 23, that is either a very wise observation or a very good line. Possibly both.

James has also worked with artists in the UK, and the difference in attitude, he says, is telling. “Interestingly, India is more open in many ways. We move at light speed when it comes to adopting new things. There is still some resistance, but that’s natural. Globally, there’s curiosity mixed with caution, but Indian creators tend to adapt very quickly once they see real value.” Given that India has historically adopted, adapted, and made entirely its own everything from the tabla to the synthesiser, this ought to surprise precisely no one.

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“The hardest part is just trying to look serious all the time.”

Running an AI film studio at an age when most of one’s peers are navigating their first performance reviews comes with its own particular pressures. James is refreshingly candid about them. “It’s more psychological than anything else,” he says. “My role is to take on the stress but not let it affect me when it actually matters. I approach it a bit like athletes my age do, staying mentally sharp without burning out.” He pauses, then grins. “And sometimes, the hardest part is just trying to look serious all the time.” Fair enough. Keeping a straight face while building the future does sound like a full-time job in itself.

For all his enthusiasm about what AI can do, James is clear-eyed about what it cannot. A million generated songs a minute, he says, will never replace the thing that makes music matter. “Volume doesn’t replace identity. What makes music special is perspective, your story, your taste, your cultural context. AI can generate options, but it can’t replicate lived experience.” And then, with the confidence of someone who has actually thought this through, “I genuinely believe live music is about to rise more than ever. In India especially, audiences are shifting toward live experiences, and that’s where authenticity really stands out.” A concert ticket, in other words, will always carry more feeling than a playlist. AI can fill your headphones; it cannot fill a room.

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Which brings him to perhaps the most paradoxical of his projects, FAIMOUS, a platform using AI to protect artists from AI. As deepfakes grow slicker and voice-cloning becomes trivially easy, the Indian music industry faces an identity crisis, quite literally. “With FAIMOUS, the focus is on identity protection and controlled usage,” James says. “As AI makes replication easier, it’s critical to build systems where artists have ownership over their voice, likeness, and creative output. It’s about enabling ethical, authorised use, not just preventing misuse.” Using the tools of disruption to defend against disruption is a very 21st century sort of paradox, and one James appears entirely unbothered by.

“Just do the hard part, it’s not that deep.”

At the end of all of it, the choir experiments and the AI glitches, the legendary collaborators and the deepfake battles, the composing and the coding and the effort to look serious, we ask him what he would tell a young artist who is afraid that AI will take their job. He thinks for approximately no time at all.

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“Just do the hard part, it’s not that deep.”

Five words, delivered with the easy confidence of someone who has already stopped worrying and started building. Which, when you think about it, is the most useful piece of career advice that any algorithm, artificial or otherwise, could ever generate.

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