Mumbai: Consumer sentiment shows recovery and uptick of 1.2 per cent points for urban Indians in December 2023, according to the Refinitiv-Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI).
The monthly PCSI result, which is driven by the aggregation of four weighted sub-Indices, displays a mixed response across the four sub-indices. The PCSI Current Personal Financial Conditions (“Current Conditions”) Sub-Index is up 3.2 per cent points; the PCSI Investment Climate (“Investment”) Sub-Index improves and is up 3.0 per cent points. On the contrary, PCSI Economic Expectations (“Expectations”) Sub-Index is down 0.1 percentage points and the PCSI Employment Confidence (“Jobs”) Sub- Index has dipped 1.9 percentage points.
Ipsos India CEO Amit Adarkar said, “We see a slight recovery and upturn in consumer sentiment in December, after November’s downturn. The RBI has left the Repo Rate unchanged in its recent Monetary Policy, which means no hike in interest rates on home loans, vehicle loans, borrowings etc., which should have brought some cheer to consumers. Improvement in sentiment is seen more around the 2 sub-indices of current financial conditions and investments, which shows consumers do not need to observe frugality in their spending and savings. Sentiment around jobs and the economy continues to be pessimistic as the two wars in Israel and Ukraine and a significant slowdown in the global economy continue to impact most global markets, especially now that we are seeing job cuts by major global companies.”
Consumer Sentiment in 29 Countries
Among the 29 countries, India (64.3) holds the highest National Index score this month. Indonesia (63.9) and Mexico (60.0) are the only other countries with a National Index score of 60 or higher.
Six other countries show a National Index above the 50-point mark: Thailand (58.1), Singapore (57.5), Brazil (56.5), the Netherlands (52.2), Poland (51.5), and the U.S. (51.1). For Poland, this month’s score is the country’s highest since November 2019.
In contrast, five countries now show a National Index below the 40-point mark: Chile (39.9), South Korea (39.1), Japan (37.5), Hungary (36.6), and Türkiye (35.5).
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These findings are based on data from a monthly 29-country survey conducted by Ipsos on its Global Advisor online survey platform and, in India, on its IndiaBus platform. They are first reported each month by LSEG as the Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI).
The results are based on interviews with over 21,200 adults aged 18+ in India, 18-74 in Canada, Israel, Malaysia, South Africa, Türkiye, and the United States, 20-74 in Thailand, 21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore, and 16-74 in all other countries.
The monthly sample consists of 1,000+ individuals each in Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain, and the U.S., and 500+ individuals in each of Argentina, Belgium, Chile, Colombia, Hungary, Indonesia, Israel, Malaysia, Mexico, the Netherlands, Peru, Poland, Singapore, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden, Thailand, and Türkiye. The sample in India consists of approximately 2,200 individuals of whom 1,800 were interviewed face-to-face and 400 were interviewed online.
Samples in Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, and the U.S. can be considered representative of their general adult populations under the age of 75. Samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Israel, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand, and Türkiye are more urban, more educated, and/or more affluent than the general population. The survey results for these countries should be viewed as reflecting the views of the more “connected” segment of their populations. India’s sample represents a large subset of its urban population — social economic classes A/B/C in metros and tier 1-3 town classes across all four zones.
The data is weighted so that the composition of the sample in each country best reflects the demographic profile of the adult population according to the most recent census data. The global indices and averages reported here reflect the average result for all the countries and markets in which the survey was conducted. They have not been adjusted to the population size of each country or market and are not intended to suggest “total” results.
Sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The precision of Ipsos online surveys is calculated using a Bayesian credibility interval with a survey of N=1,000 being accurate to +/- 3.5 per cent points and a survey of N=500 being accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on credibility intervals, visit this page.
The LSEG/ Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI), ongoing since 2010, is a monthly survey of consumer attitudes on the current and future state of their local economy, personal financial situation, savings, and confidence to make major investments. The PCSI metrics reported each month for each of the countries surveyed consist of a “Primary Index” based on all 10 questions below and of several “sub-indices” each based on a subset of these 10 questions.
The concerned publication of these findings abides by local rules and regulations.
