| Indiantelevision.com's
interview with Tam India chief executive officer LV Krishnan |
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'An
increase in C&S penetration doesn't necessarily mean we
need to increase sample size'
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| Posted
on 2 August 2005 |
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The
broadcast industry currency Tam ratings has been in the line of
fire lately. Zee Telefilms and Sahara One have pointed fingers at
the agency recently questioning its data.
At
the helm of the six-year-old agency TAM India is its polite yet
firm CEO LV Krishnan. Confident about the agency and its way of
functioning, he refuses to be bogged down under pressure, takes
the criticisms in his stride and has announced major expansion plans.
In
a tête-à-tête with Indiantelevision.com's
Hetal Adesara,
Krishnan clears doubts that many in the industry may be having about
Tam. He throws light on Tam and AdEx' expansion plans and speaks
at length on various industry issues such as the areas where broadcasters
need to channelise their energies in order to achieve maximum return
on investment and more...
Excerpts:
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Let's first start with the recent controversy surrounding Sahara
One and their discontentment with the Tam ratings around 'Dial One
Aur Jeeto'. Also Zee is raising eyebrows on the 'Time Bomb' ratings
thrown up by Tam. What seems to be the problem?
These are normal client queries, which we keep getting. There's
nothing controversial about it. Sahara had put forth their query
to us and we replied back. Yes, they went into the media with it
but we didn't want to do the same because the answers were very
clear.
Firstly,
there is no direct correlation between call-ins and the ratings.
The relationship does exist in a directional manner and which is
what you can see in the data that we showed to Sahara One. Their
new formats actually brought in a lot more new audiences. It's stickiness
of content that creates ratings. They understood where the issues
were.
Today,
the good thing about Tam is that we have fantastic science built
in to understand audience behaviour patterns. We
want to keep bettering the benchmarks in terms of quality of information
and in terms of the way in which we are analyzing the data and delivering
insights to users. Those insights are the ones that can help them
in garnering eyeballs at the end of the day.
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aMap has now entered the space and is planning to have 20,000 panel
homes by 2006. Added to that the fact that they deliver overnight
ratings online, do you think a situation where there are two competing
ratings agencies a la the earlier TAM and INTAM ratings monitors
may come into being again?
I don't think I need to comment on aMap at all, the industry
should be commenting on it. Tam doesn't see aMap as competition.
From
our point of view, we have been here for the last six years helping
the industry to understand the television information data in a
better manner. And that's what we want to keep doing in the future
too.
We
are trying to make systems through which the data can become even
more actionable than it is now. Therefore in a greater perspective,
we have moved from a mere ratings agency to an agency that provides
intelligence.
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Apart from these grievances, the mood at Tam seems to be buoyant
with the increase in the TV panel and the scaling up Adex operations.
However these plans have been in the pipeline for some time now.
When exactly will the new peoplemeters be installed and AdEx ops
scaled up?
The only thing that is stalling this whole process is money.
We are trying to take help from the industry to actually move forward
in our expansion plans. The funds are not yet in place but we are
in discussions with the entire industry.
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Keeping
these things in mind, when do you think it is likely that the Tam
panel and AdEx expansion plans will materialise?
The first step is that the NRS 2005 has released and we have
a new database so the measurement science unit is working on those
expansion plans. We will soon reveal the time span for it and also
the details of how many meters we require and the number of homes
we will cover.
It
will be in two stages. The first will be the expansion to the new
NRS homes. The second stage will be to go beyond Class I towns and
go into smaller towns and rural markets.
The
central parties who will be coordinating this will be Tam Measurement
Science unit as well as the JIB (joint industry body) technical
committee, which comprises broadcasters, agencies and advertisers.
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'Technology
is gearing more and more towards the top end of the market
place. It's
a sorry plight'
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What's on the agenda as far as rural expansion is concerned?
We are planning to expand into small towns and rural markets
very soon and there are many complexities that those markets will
bring in. Many of the broadcasters don't even have an iota of an
idea on those markets. That's where they need to strengthen themselves
to compete in the future.
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Can you give me a ballpark figure on the kind of investment that
is likely to go into the expansion?
The investment is considerable. However, I can't share specific
numbers with you. |
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How is Radio Adex faring? What has the industry response been to
it?
It's doing pretty good and the industry response has also been
good. In fact in the last three years India has released the largest
number of new products catering to the broadcast and media industry
than any other Nielsen company worldwide. So that's a fantastic
achievement by the team.
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How often do you upgrade your technology to cover different platforms
like DTH, cable, IPTV and mobile?
Good question! Let me tell you that it's a sorry plight. Technology
is gearing more and more towards the top end of the market place.
We have technology like DTH and broadband coming in which probably
will be used by the higher end of the society. And because of the
new adoption of technology on the higher end, we are also adopting
newer technologies like digital meters which are geared to measure
DTH and broadband.
My
worry is what is happening to those millions of homes who are living
in rural India and have black and white TV sets. There is no affordable,
cheaper and easier technology provider who is focusing on that segment
cheaper and easier to use technology that could upgrade them to
the next level.
But
we believe that we need to unlock the potential in that market.
We are working in that direction with a small project with one of
our alliance partners, whose name I cannot reveal at this point
in time. Sooner or later we will be out with a technology that would
enable measurement of the rural markets in a cheaper manner. We
will begin testing in a couple of months.
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What are the norms that are followed for replacing the old TV panels?
How often is it done?
It is a continuous replacement. A specific Indian panel doesn't
stagnate at all. The panel is changed almost 25-30 per cent per
annum and that is primarily because of the change in demographics,
migratory population and the structure of the universe in the market
place. The latter can be the outcome of change in the kind of TV
sets, change in the ownership of the remote control and non-remote
control, an upgradation of the platform from which one gets the
signals. So it can be any of these which can influence a panel change.
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How
is the panel distribution done across SEC A, B, C and D? Will there
be any change in the mix?
Let me stress on the fact that we only represent Class I towns in
this country, which are towns with more than 100,000 population. We
don't represent the entire the country yet. I think it is important
to say that because people are still under the misconception that
we represent 85 million TV homes. We don't!
In
the socio economic classes, we have sampling distributed equally
among all five SECs. The measure of the system is to try and gauge
the behavioral patterns of heterogeneous groups. If there is homogeneity
in viewing, we don't require a large sample size, but when there
is heterogeneity then we require more samples. Therefore, when we
see heterogeneity in the higher end segment group, that's where
the skew of the meters automatically go into.
An
increase in population, homes, TV sets or cable and satellite penetration
doesn't necessarily mean that we need to increase sample size. What
you require is more heterogeneity in viewing behaviour.
One
of the reasons that we are coming out with the Elite panel is because
we believe that segment has more heterogeneity and the panel will
capture that heterogeneity in the Mumbai and Delhi market.
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'People
are still under the misconception that we represent 85 million
TV homes. We don't'
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One
of the major happenings will be the launch of T-Sky and Sun Direct.
We already have Doordarshan's and Zee's DTH platforms. Now with the
other two launching and also Anil Ambani's plans to enter DTH, what
is your vision for the space? Is there a market in India for so many
players?
DTH
is just evolving. Why only three platforms, there could be more. But
with the Trai regulation saying that content needs to be provided
equally to all distribution platforms it negates the purpose of multiple
platforms automatically. But the only thing that multiple platforms
can ensure is competition and better pricing. Energetic marketing
will be able to drive volume in this space. |
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How
are you'll monitoring the CAS market down South? Are there any interesting
findings?
The CAS market is dead. |
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Now
coming to some broad industry issues, MRUC and NRS are not seeing
eye-to-eye as far as the total number of C&S homes in the country
is concerned. What are your views on this?
From the independent tests that we have conducted on our own, we are
more or less in agreement with what the NRS numbers indicate.
We
have no comments on the issues that MRUC has raised with NRS. We
are ready to work with anyone in the market provided they are independent
bodies and have their own equity in the market.
For
us, NRS and IRS are two valuable sources of information that gives
us an idea of the overall universe structure.
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What
is your view on the broadcasting industry at present and where do
you see it going?
The television industry is maturing and a first sign of it is to
realize the fact that the industry needs to operate like any other
marketing company. There was a deep rooted feeling earlier that
they were just producing content to attract viewers but now the
game of marketing has really started. What it's going to lead to:
1)
A broadcaster will need to take a call whether he wants to be strong
in the distribution platform and be a distribution king to that
effect. That means controlling distributing platforms and enabling
other people to use it in a big way. Therefore they can earn money
through distribution and hence the revenue model will completely
change.
2)
The spin off into content manufacturing, which is already being
seen. Broadcasters may not want to get into the content manufacturing
process. They could leave it to studios to do that and that's when
the roles of big studios will come in. Already Fremantle has set
up shop in India. So the second spin off could be in terms of outsourcing
content to big production houses and allow them to manufacture and
give it back to them (broadcasters). So the broadcaster can focus
on the marketing aspects and not content.
3)
The broadcaster may just decide that he doesn't want to be in the
game of either content manufacturing or a distribution platform.
He may decide to outsource both of these and concentrate his energies
on airtime sales and marketing.
4)
A distributor may put money into a DTH, broadband or mobile platform
or even into cable operations. On a content platform they can be
more associated with research because that's what's bringing in
eyeballs. The production companies will enlarge themselves to work
more closely with research companies to understand viewer behaviour
in a more prolific manner. The research will then be used by marketing
teams of broadcasters to identify how they can work to more eyeballs.
The production houses can use research to see how content changes
is affecting eyeballs and airtime sales team can harp on the best
programmes to get the best returns from advertisers. From the distribution
platforms can use research to understand how better penetration
will help in getting better returns on that platform.
When
that kind of a usage starts happening in the broadcasting industry,
that's when the industry will move from a maturity level to a completely
evolved level in terms of using research in the right way.
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'From
the independent tests that we have conducted on our own, we
are more or less in agreement with what the NRS numbers indicate'
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What
according to you have been the landmarks in the television space in
the first half of 2005?
The good thing that has happened is that DTH is getting more aggressive
in nature with new players coming in. Mobile TV as a platform has
slowly started coming in and will start becoming more and more interactive
in nature.
Some
of the new companies that are planning to foray into broadcasting
like Reliance are welcome given the kind of investments that they
will be making. It's slowly going to be an industry where the big
players are going to become more and more fortified.
Besides
that Trai has played a fantastic role in bringing a couple of new
resolutions. Also they are planning to open up the frequencies of
terrestrial licenses. They are also looking at unification licenses
for telecom which will bring in landline providers to walk in with
additional services like television etc and vice versa.
In
a way the pace has been set in the first half of 2005. I think we
are going to see the effects of it in 2006-07.
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Your
take on the burgeoning news channels space. Will they sustain in
the market?
It is very difficult for anyone to predict the future of news
channels. But the fact is that there is a growing appetite for news
content. The amazing thing is that it is not the volume of people
consuming news but the rise in the amount of time spent on news
channels.
The
share on an average day of a news channel is five per cent which
is good. It is only when extreme news (good or bad) happens that
the tilt towards news increases and there is a dramatic increase
in the market share.
But
the more important thing to realize as more news channels come in
is the need for a good distribution platform which will enable them
to get through to the viewers.
Along
with that, very few news channels have pushed themselves to market
their brand in the minds of the customer. There are three or four
news channels that have communicated their proposition to the consumers.
But given the distribution scenario that exists on a free to air
mode, where returns on distribution revenue are negligible for the
broadcaster, he is forced to reduce cost on content. Therefore he
is not able to create distinct content.
As
I see it in the future with better distribution systems and better
technology, these things will change.
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