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Queried as to the reasoning behind such a dramatic shift in strategy
from the current norm, Mukerjea said the lead broadcaster was responding
to market dynamics. There was a very real perception from within
both the government and among consumers that "broadcasters are hiking
their subscription rates too frequently and too arbitrarily," Mukerjea
said.
Star's opting to only concentrate on increasing declared connectivity
will make distribution head Tony D'Silva's target to get declared
connectivity up to 9 million by the end of June 2003 a far more
realistic proposition than would have been possible if there had
been a hike to Rs 50 as was the industry speculation. According
to D'Silva, Star is currently at 6.5 million paid subscribers and
is aiming to hit 7 million by December-end.
Mukerjea has gone on record earlier as saying he would be willing
to drop rates if cable operators significantly increased declarations.
If Star does go in for a rate reduction, then Star will be sending
out a clear signal that it is literally willing to put its money
where its mouth is on the issue.
This move could actually work in Star's favour in more than one
way.
Firstly it would pull the bottom out of the argument among cable
operators that the reason they are forced to underdeclare is because
of the constant price hikes by broadcasters. Secondly it also throws
up the possibility that consumers who have "had enough" of increases
pressurise their cable operators to opt for particular bouquets
rather than the whole basket of channels as is the case currently.
Star then becomes the first preference bouquet in all permutation
combination calculations, is the reasoning.
It also sends a very positive signal across to the mandarins in
the I&B ministry. And with the government clearance for its news
channel still awaited, that is certainly an important consideration.
Of course, there is the fact that with nothing new to offer in
the near term and with cricket World Cup coming up, it would probably
be counter-productive for Star as far as getting declarations up
to hike rates at this juncture.
What such a move also does is seriously impact its rivals' plans
as far as increasing declarations is concerned.
The SET-Discovery plus HBO price package, at Rs 55, which initially
looked extremely well considered, would now be perceived as pretty
steep. Still, the addition of HBO to the bouquet may well make the
difference now as far as pushing up connectivity at this price at
an all-India level is concerned. And the fact that Sony has the
biggest television event of them all, the ICC World Cup in March,
on the platform, will definitely go a long way towards "convincing"
cable operators to cough up more.
What will further convince the trade is if Sony can sew up the
deal for a news channel and a music channel that it needs to complete
its bouquet. It is still not certain as to whether it will be Aaj
Tak or Prannoy Roy's soon to be separate from Star NDTV that will
come aboard though.
And as far as the music channel is concerned, MTV looks the most
likely bet. MTV's kid sister channel Nickelodeon will continue on
the Zee platform though as there is still a contract in place.
Talking about Zee, industry sources assert that what is holding
up Zee's announcement on its new rate card is word from Turner whether
it is feasible to get HBO's sister channel Cinemax onto the platform.
The status on that should be out by the end of this week.
The issue appears to centre around whether there will be enough
fresh titles to showcase on the channel. Star Movies and HBO have
more or less sewed up the market between them.
If Turner gives the all-clear on Cinemax, then an announcement
on subscription rates can be expected from Zee by Monday next. The
information available to indiantelevision.com (reported on Saturday),
is that if the Cinemax issue is clarified then the bouquet price
of the network for all its channels (which will soon include UK-based
Realty TV and CNBC India as well) will be Rs 60.
And what of ESPN Star Sports, the first to announce what can only
be termed a seep hike of 33 per cent to Rs 32? Enforcing this in
the current scenario looks a tough task to say the least.
See related headlines:
Zee
adds Realty TV to bouquet
One
Alliance hikes subscription rates to Rs 55
HBO
defects from Zee, joins Sony platform
ESS
hikes subscription rate 33% to Rs 32
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